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Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston | Vertex MMA
Bout· Middleweight · 3 rounds
October 24, 2026 · Abu Dhabi
Vertex Simulation v0.14.0 54% Cam Rowston vs Abus Magomedov · 45.6%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -19 favors Cam Rowston Age gap +4 yr favors Cam Rowston
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Abus Magomedov 2.11 model 46% Cam Rowston 1.77 model 54%
Method Abus Magomedov by KO/TKO5.78 model 16% Abus Magomedov by submission17.78 model 5% Abus Magomedov by decision3.80 model 24% Cam Rowston by KO/TKO3.66 model 25% Cam Rowston by submission8.83 model 10% Cam Rowston by decision4.98 model 19%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.74 model 53% Under 2.5 1.97 model 47%
Goes the distance Yes 2.16 model 43% No 1.62 model 57%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Age curve advantage
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 5:38 Most likely: Decision round — (43%)
KO/TKO · 41% · 16/25 Submission · 16% · 5/10 Decision · 43% · 24/19
Abus Magomedov / Cam Rowston
43%