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Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon | Vertex MMA
Bout· Bantamweight · 3 rounds
September 26, 2026 · Las Vegas
Vertex Simulation v0.14.0 59% Montel Jackson vs Ricky Simon · 41.3%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -10 favors Ricky Simon Career win-rate gap +10% favors Montel Jackson
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Montel Jackson 1.64 model 59% Ricky Simon 2.33 model 41%
Method Montel Jackson by KO/TKO4.31 model 21% Montel Jackson by submission25.00 model 3% Montel Jackson by decision2.68 model 35% Ricky Simon by KO/TKO12.28 model 8% Ricky Simon by submission19.04 model 5% Ricky Simon by decision3.21 model 29%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.32 model 70% Under 2.5 3.08 model 30%
Goes the distance Yes 1.46 model 63% No 2.53 model 37%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Reach gap +15 cm
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 5:44 Most likely: Decision round — (63%)
KO/TKO · 29% · 21/8 Submission · 8% · 3/5 Decision · 63% · 35/29
Montel Jackson / Ricky Simon
63%