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Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott | Vertex MMA
Bout· Main event · Welterweight · 5 rounds
October 17, 2026 · Edmonton
Vertex Simulation v0.14.0 59% Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott · 40.9%
Why the model thinks so Vertex Score gap -12 favors Mike Malott Height gap -7 cm favors Mike Malott
Vertex Sportsbook Bet at our model's odds
Winner Joaquin Buckley 1.63 model 59% Mike Malott 2.35 model 41%
Method Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO3.00 model 31% Joaquin Buckley by submission25.00 model 2% Joaquin Buckley by decision3.53 model 26% Mike Malott by KO/TKO5.51 model 17% Mike Malott by submission10.68 model 9% Mike Malott by decision6.01 model 15%
Total rounds Over 2.5 1.61 model 58% Under 2.5 2.18 model 42%
Goes the distance Yes 2.22 model 42% No 1.59 model 58%
Sign in to bet Odds come from the Vertex model and lock when you bet. Payout = stake × odds. Winners are paid once the result is in; draws and no-contests are refunded.
V ERTEX MMA
UFC scores, community rankings, virtual coin betting. Virtual currency has no monetary value. © 2026.
Age gap
-2 yr
LightGBM model trained on historical UFC bouts with isotonic calibration. Reflects statistical baseline only — not a betting recommendation.
How it might end (10,000 simulations) Avg finish: 7:19 Most likely: Decision round — (42%)
KO/TKO · 48% · 31/17 Submission · 11% · 2/9 Decision · 42% · 26/15
Joaquin Buckley / Mike Malott
4%
